viernes, 20 de mayo de 2011

Why the poor countries do not overcome its poverty? Political economy

"When public money is stolen for private gain, it means fewer resources to build schools, hospitals, roads and water treatment facilities. When foreign aid is diverted into private bank accounts, major infrastructure projects come to a halt. Corruption enables fake or substandard medicines to be dumped on the market, and hazardous waste to be dumped in landfill sites and in oceans. The vulnerable suffer first and worst."

UN Secretary-General.  UNDP, Democratic Governance. 23 April 2011.

Index
  1. Overview
  2. Ancestral attitude of man
  3. Material conditions
  4. Natural resources change
  5. Distribution of wealth
  6. Least developed countries
  7. Income and development
  8. National currencies and international currency
  9. The United States has no external debt
  10. Value and support of the national currencies
  11. Gold value
  12. The external debt is the main obstacle for the development
  13. Corruption, a source of the world’s poverty
  14. Lack of efficiency
  15. People’s attitudes and development
  16. A contradiction: the United States poverty
  17. The Neo liberalism was imposed to the undeveloped nations
  18. The extreme liberalism also affects the United States
  19. What to do
1. Overview
The majority of the world population is poor. Only a small group of countries concentrate the world wealth. Why does this happen? There are diverse opinions on the theme. Some researchers assure that it is a problem of intellectual capacity. Others say that the wealth is a consequence of the attitude regarding the work. But I consider that the poverty is a consequence of two limitations: a) the man attitude and b) the material conditions.
In the year 2000, the world leaders defined a program of 8 points to improve the economic and social conditions of the world population; this program was named the Millennium Development Goals and their objectives are: 1. Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger, 2. Achieve universal primary education, 3. Promote gender equality and empower women, 4. Reduce child mortality, 5. Improve maternal health, 6. Combat HIV/AIDS and other diseases, 7. Ensure environment sustainability and 8. Develop a Global Partnership for development.
Between the years 2000 and 2011 has been achieved some important progress in some countries but the most still remain in a precarious condition. Why does this occur? To understand this, it is necessary to considerer some key aspects of the man history.
  1. Ancestral attitude of man
Since the beginning of the times, a small group of men took for them the principal wealth that is the Earth. They became landlords by mean of the appropriation, the robbery of the land. That is the origin of the wealth accumulation. This fact, in turn, determined the born of the social classes.
The phenomenon of the land appropriation occurred in all the societies.
Egoism is the feeling that predominates in the majority of the human beings and was the feeling that motivated the first wealth accumulation. This feeling is the cause of the most problems of the world: poverty, damage to nature and the environment, social violence and war.
  1. Material conditions
Some regions of the world are privileged while others not. The abundance, scarcity or lack of natural resources determines the poverty or the richness of nations. Notwithstanding, it must be highlighted that there are countries do not privileged in natural resources that are rich, Switzerland and Japan, for example. Why does this happen? The answer is very simple: because in the modern world the money is employed as mean of change for obtaining all the goods that exist and who possess money can buy the resources and everything. 
  1. Natural resources change
But the availability of natural resources is changing, as a consequence of three factors: a) the overexploitation, b) the pollution and c) the climate change. These restrictions set in peril the Millennium Development Goals, MDGs.  
Every day the signs of scarcity appear in many regions of the world. This means that, at mid term, the possession of money will be not enough for obtaining natural resources. This already has happened in some periods of history, for example, in times of war. During the Second War, the availability of resources was restricted and it was decisive for the Hitler’s and Japan defeat. In that time, a piece o bread was more valuable than a diamond or an amount of gold or money.
The Food and Agriculture Organization, FAO, are warning about the impact of the climate change and the pollution on the food production. In the last months, the food prices have suffered an important increase; this reveals the food trends. The price of the goods demonstrates its scarcity or abundance. So that the availability of natural resources is key for the poverty overcome. Until now it has been possible for the nations less favoured in matter of natural resources to buy them in the international markets, but if the situation of scarcity acquire a most intense form, it will be not easy for those countries to get the scarce resources.
It is necessary to underline that the food price is influenced by a key input: the oil price. In the last decade this has experienced an important augment and the perspective is of a sustained trend in that same sense.
Other important situation that deserve be mentioned is that there are two other facts that affect the food security; they are the food loss and the food waste.
In a Report entitled Cutting Food Waste to Feed the World, of 11 May 2011, FAO assure the following:
“Roughly one third of the food production in the world for human consumption every year ---approximately 1.3 billion tones gets lost wasted.
Food losses ---occurring at the production, harvest, post-harvest and processing phases--- are most important in developing countries, due to poor infrastructure, low levels of technology and low investment in the food production systems.
Food waste is more a problem in industrialized countries, most often caused by both retailers and consumers throwing perfectly edible foodstuffs into the trash.”
End of the quotes. Available in Internet in:
  1. Distribution of wealth
The same that has happened inside the countries also has passed between the nations; this mean that the strongest countries invaded the less developed and weak nations and this fact caused the economic preeminence of the formers. The wealth of the European nations ---in good part--- came from America, came from the slavery, from the appropriation of the American lands and the overexploitation of its resources. For example, all the gold and silver obtained by the European countries during the 16th and 17th centuries was taken in violent form from America.
In the interior of the less developed nations occurred a similar phenomenon. The privileged classes took for them the best lands and established the slavery. By mean of this process was consolidated the power of the rich classes in those countries.
In the modern world ---formally--- the slavery disappeared but in the true reality it still exist in many countries of the world; for example, currently there are nations, especially in Asia, where the workers work the 30 days of the month and their salaries do not pass $ 120 per month. Those are the new forms of slavery. There are international institutions that denounce these situations. Concretely, it exists denounces about the situation of slavery that suffer millions of workers in the industrial cities of China and other regions of the world. China has obtained a privileged position in the international commercial market because of the overexploitation of their workers. International companies have moved their activities toward China and other countries of Asia to obtain benefits of that unfair situation.
In the next table may be appreciated the situation of poverty in regions like East and Pacific, China, South Asia, India and Sub-Saharan Africa. A common fact for those regions is its overpopulation and this is a key factor that impulse its poverty.

Source: World Bank, Global Monitoring Report 2011, Improving the Odds of Achieving the MDGs, Box 1.1.
6. Least developed countries
Between 8 and 13 March 2011 in Istanbul, Turkey, United Nations realized the Fourth Conference on the Least Developed Countries. In an official document UN assure the following:
“Since 1971, the United Nations has recognized the Least Developed Countries (LDCs) as the “poorest and weakest segment” of the international community. Extreme poverty, the structural weaknesses of their economies and the lack of capacities related to growth, often compounded by structural handicaps, hamper the efforts of these countries to improve the quality of life of their people. These countries are also characterized by their acute susceptibility to external economic shocks, natural and man-made disasters and communicable diseases.
The current list of LDCs includes 48 countries: 33 in Africa, 14 in Asia and the Pacific and one in Latin America. Cape Verde graduated from the list at the end of 2007 and Maldives on 1 January 2011.
The United Nations Committee for Development Policy (CDP) uses the following criteria to identify LDCs:
1) Low-income, measured by an average income per person over three years. An average income less than $745 per person per year is considered for inclusion, and above $900 for graduation;
2) Weak human resources, as measured by indicators of nutrition, mortality of children aged five years or under; secondary school enrolment; and adult literacy rate;
3) High economic vulnerability, measured by population size; remoteness; diversity of goods exported, share of agriculture, forestry and fisheries in the economy; instability of agricultural production; instability of exports of goods and services; and homelessness owing to natural disasters.
High levels of poverty: More than half the 800 million people in the LDCs live on less than a dollar a day. Women in LDCs have a one in 16 chance of dying in childbirth, compared to one in 3500 in North America.
● Food insecurity: More than 300 million Africans, where 33 out of the 48 LDCs are located, are food insecure.
● Economic vulnerability: LDCs are highly dependent of external sources of funding, including official development assistance, workers’ remittances and foreign direct investment. This overly exposes them to external shocks such as the global financial crisis, which has had a severe impact on their economies.
● Environmental vulnerability: While they contribute least to climate change, LDCs are among the groups of countries most affected by climate change. Poor housing, over-dependence on natural resources and the lack of adaptive capacity all people in LDCs at a greater risk to the impact of climate change than people in other countries. Many LDCs are also small islands whose very survival is threatened by rising sea levels.”
End of the quotes. Available in Internet in:
7. Income and development
The lack of income or the reduced scale of income is the material cause of the poverty.In the modern industrial world, the money is the mean through which the human beings get the goods and services that they require to satisfy its needs. In the pre-industrial society, the situation was different and the people had the possibility of changing goods by other goods or of to be self-sufficient in some activities. For example, the antique farmers had certain level of self-sufficiency; they were able of producing the food and some basic inputs employed in other basic activities of the life. But now, in the modern world, if you do not have money you cannot get anything. In this scenario arise a key question:  
Where does the income come from?First of all it is necessary to make a distinction between the income of the nations and the private person’s income; this last encompasses the income of the private business and the income of the individual people.In the case of the governments, the income comes from two sources: a) the tax system and b) the sovereign capacity of the states to issue money. In the case of the private persons (business and individuals) the income arises of different sources, like the government (public spend), the remunerations of the diverse private activities in the internal market and the remuneration of the exports to the external markets.
8. National currencies and international currency
The income is ever in money, national money or international currency. With the national money the governments and the private people of each country make the economic transactions inside of their countries.
Since the Second World War, the nations selected the dollar of the United States of America like the currency for the international transactions. This means that the U.S. dollar is the currency through which the world does the most international business.
Each country can issue its own national currency but they cannot issue currencies of other countries. However, it is necessary to say that the issue of national currency of the different countries should follow some international rules.
If a country or a private people do not have the international currency required to pay in the international markets ---and this is the dollar of the United States--- that country or person cannot realize international economics operations.
How the countries and the private persons do obtain the international currency, the U.S. dollar?The answer is: through the international mechanism of payments: you sell a good or service and the buyer pay you an amount in the international currency, the dollar. A minor amount of international transactions are made in Euros and in the national currencies of Japan and China. This means that you will have more or less international means of pay ---dollars--- depending of your ability to sell goods and services in the international markets.
The United States of America has the biggest advantage in the international finances and in the international commerce because its government can issue the U.S. dollar that is the international currency for the international interchange. None other country have this advantage. This means that the United States of America can acquire ---without limits--- all the goods and services that want in the entire world, because its currency is accepted worldwide. The rest of the countries do no not have this advantage. They must get the US dollar for making their international economical transactions.
The national governments of the rest of the countries are able only of to issue their national currencies.
9. The United States has no external debt
The reason is very simple: because the technical concept of external debt is the debt acquired in foreign currency. According to the international statistics published by the International Monetary Fund, the United States has no debt in foreign currencies reflected in the international financial statistics. The debt of the United States is in dollars of the same United States; this means that it is an internal debt because it is a commitment in its own currency. So that the people that talk about the burden debt of the United States are not right. It is not the same an external debt than an internal debt. The external debt represents a sign of weakness of the economy of the rest of the countries because they need foreign currency ---U.S. dollars--- to pay it and they do not have always the amount of money that requires. But for the United States the situation is completely different, because the United States can issue all the amount of dollars that need its internal economy because the dollar is its own national currency. Also it can issue the total amount of dollars that the international economy requires.
We must remember that the most international operations are made in dollars; therefore, the United States must fulfill the monetary needs of the international economy. The debt of the United States is a consequence of its role as issuer of the international currency of interchange, the U.S. dollar.       
The debt of the United States instead of to be a factor of weakness of its economy and the world economy, is a factor that reveals the strength of the US economy. The financial crises are caused by the owners of private fortunes to obtain personal benefits. They do the crisis and the governments pay the bailouts. That is the true truth.
10. Value and support of the international currencies
Since the Agreements of Breton Woods, in the post war, the value and support of the national currencies of the different countries of the world was established in base to the dollar of the United States of America. In those years, in Breton Woods, the countries agreed: a) the creation of the International Monetary Fund, b) that the international reserves of the nations must be kept in dollars c) That the value of the U.S. dollar should be established regarding the gold value, d) That the dollar would be the international currency of interchange, and e) that the emission of national currencies should maintain a relation with their reserves in dollars. For example, if you set that your national currency is worth in two (2) units per U.S. dollar, this mean that each national currency in circulation should be supported by a reserve of $ 0.50; the problem is that the nations not ever obey this rule. In all the cases, the parity regarding the dollar is an act of sovereignty of each government; this means that they can issue more or less amount of national currencies.
I don’t believe in public fiscal deficit; the governments have sovereign capacity to issue national money; which is the support? The people faith, nothing more; none currency has an own value, per se. The currencies of all the countries are simple papers without intrinsic value that are accepted by the people to make transactions in the market and only the governments have the power to issue those papers. In the past, the currencies had an intrinsic value, because they were made of gold or silver. But with the apparition of the bills of paper the situation changed. At the beginning the bills had a support in gold but along the time this support was eliminated and now its support is only its credibility, its acceptance.
11. Gold value
The currencies cannot be supported in gold for a simple reason: all the gold that exists in the world is not enough to support the big amount of money that circulates in the world.
The other issue is the intrinsic value of gold. Why gold does has a value? Which is the utility of gold? The value of gold is a convention, a creation of man without real base. You cannot eat, drink or use gold but for jewelry. The most important use of gold is as international instrument of reserve by the central banks of the countries. This is also a convention. The central banks might use other minerals like diamonds, platinum, and others. In change, there are goods that represent a true value: oxygen, water, food, medicines, petroleum. They have an intrinsic and useful value. You cannot live without them but you can without gold.
12. The external debt is the main obstacle for the development
The programs for the development of the undeveloped countries have been based in a paradoxical policy: the acquisition of big amounts of loans from the international financial system and the international agencies. This is new form of domination that became the undeveloped countries in absolutely dependents of the international financial system.
Many countries must employ more than 50% of their income to pay the external debt. This implies that they cannot afford the basic necessities of the population.
13. Corruption, a source of the world’s poverty
The other problem that impedes the development of the poorest countries is the corruption of a part of its leadership. The scarce fiscal resources of these countries are not ever employed in an honest form. The own fiscal resources of each country and the international aid sometimes is diverted for the personal benefit of the rulers. This determines the maintenance and enhancement of the poverty. The United Nations Secretary speech on the theme that heads this work is a perfect synthesis of the consequences of corruption for the world. The corruption subtracts the resources that should be employed in the progress of the people, usually, of the less favored social groups. Therefore, more than a crime, corruption is a sin against the poorest.
14. Lack of efficiency
Important investments in public services and infrastructure are made in many underdeveloped nations but, in many cases, those investments do not produce the appropriate results. This is especially visible in the sanitary and educational fields. Indeed, is in those activities where the majority of the undeveloped countries are very far of the Millennium Goals.  
15. People’s attitude and development
The economic and social behaviors and custom described in the previous paragraphs reveal the existence of a solid system that obstructs the development. Instead of promoting the progress of the nations, in the undeveloped nations the people’s attitudes contribute to stress the underdevelopment. Those attitudes are, among others, the following: a) the lack of conscience about the sanitary and health norms; for example, it is a custom in an important part of the population of the undeveloped countries the practice of unhealthiest actions like to cough and sneeze without protecting their mouths or to spit in the streets. A Mayor of a Chinese city has developed an intense campaign to teach at the citizens to avoid this custom. It is common also the commerce in the streets of food without the most elementary norms of sanitary, the inexistence or bad use of the public services of water and waste, b) The destruction of the natural resources and the damage to the environment, especially the contamination of the sources of water.   
16. A contradiction: The United States poverty
The United States is the first capitalist nation of the world but, in that country ---though it seems a contradiction--- the poverty exists. According to the Census Bureau document entitled Income, Poverty and health Insurance Coverage in the United States 2009, “the official poverty rate in 2009 was 14.3 percent up from 13.2 percent in 2008.” The report assure that “In 2009, 43.6 million people were in poverty, up from 39.8 million in 2008, the third consecutive annual increase in the number of people in poverty.” In the following table may be appreciated the official figures.

Source: United States Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau, Income, Poverty and Health Insurance Coverage in the United States 2009, table 4, page 15.
Perhaps the most relevant proof of the poverty in the United States is the limitation of health care services which affects millions of citizens. This do not happens in the other industrialized developed nations, where the states guarantee the medical attention to the citizens.
In the United States, the health services are private business managed with economical benefits criteria and this impede at the poor people the access to the health services. A report published recently, assure, for example, that the time of wait for elective surgery might be of several months for the poor people and sometimes this never happen and the people die.
Source: United States Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau, Income, Poverty and Health Insurance Coverage in the United States 2009, table 8, page 23.
The figures demonstrate key issues of the economic conduction of the United States. Moreover, too few days ago, conservative economists pointed out to sell the gold reserves of Fort Knox to pay the internal debt of the United States. The same economists requested the privatization of public services that are in hands of the Federal Government.
17. The extreme liberalism also affects the United States
The previous examples reveal that the U.S. faces an extreme economic liberalism trend that might be an important cause of the economic and social problems of this great country.
In the last years, the United States has begun to feel openly the extreme liberalism effects. The financial crisis of the year 2008 and its consequences is an irrefutable proof of this. The Federal Reserve boss, Ben Bernanke, recognized that the weak supervision by the government was one of the main causes of the financial fallout. The United States balance of payment weakness is other visible consequence, because the country imports are very important and their exports are affected by the competition of new exporters, like the countries of Asia. These situations have increased the unemployment rate and the poverty rate in the United States like was proved in the previous statistical tables. 
18. The Neo liberalism was imposed to the undeveloped nations
In the decade of the 80th years, starting the dissolution of the Soviet Union, the World Bank and International Monetary Fund imposed the Neo liberalism to the undeveloped nations. The threat of do not refinancing their debts was the method employed to obligate at the undeveloped nations to accept the policy. The Neo liberalism may be considered like an extreme phase of the economic liberalism.
The basic elements of the Neo liberal policy of the eighty and ninety years of the 20th century was: a) the privatization of the public services and public enterprises, b) the public services price increase, c) the international commerce liberalization (Globalization) and d) the interest rates augment. This policy ruined the economy of the undeveloped countries and destroyed the success that those nations had reached in the past. The results were more poverty, more unemployment and more damage to nature and the environment, because that system search only financial benefits at any cost.
19. What to do
First of all we must underline that the model of development followed until now by the undeveloped nations ---the Neo liberalism and Globalization--- has not been successful. It is necessary, then, creates a new model of development to diminish the poverty, the dependence, generate employment, fair salaries and protect nature and the environment. I would like to make mention of some concepts that might contribute to make possible the creation of a new model of development:
a. The poverty is a big problem with numerous implications: This means that the solution must be tackled since diverse points of view. It is not only an economic problem. It is, moreover, a sociologic,politics and demographic problem. From that broad perspective the problem must be considered. Since the economic dimension, the poverty may be considered as the lack or scarcity of basic means of subsistence. In the modern world this may be translated like the lack of money, because the commerce all is based in money. To buy any good or service is necessary money, if you do not have money you cannot acquire anything. In turn, the lack of money has a cause: the absence of economical activity as entrepreneur or like worker. So that the first measure to combat the poverty is to guarantee the development of economic activities in the production and distribution of goods and services to generate employment and fair income to workers and entrepreneurs. A third economic actor exists; it is the most important: the States, the governments of the countries.
b. The natural resources and the resources of capital are limited: If the population grows to a superior rhythm than the resources, it is not possible to reach a balance between population and resources. The consequence is the poverty. Hence, the other key measure to tackle the poverty is the demographic control.  
c. The financial capitalism is the responsible of the poverty of nations:  Like the majority of the poor countries do not have enough financial income to buy in the international markets, it should be created a new system that let them to acquire the goods and services that they need without currency. For example, like these countries have abundance of raw materials the mechanism might be to change raw materials for goods and services. The undeveloped countries should employ those goods and services to develop its internal economy, by the creation of new economic activities in concordance with their natural resources and the size and abilities of its population. If the process is realized according with the mentioned objectives, to change raw materials for goods and services would not be a mechanism to accentuate the dependence. On the contrary, the mechanism would let at the poor countries to have access to the goods and services that they need but that they cannot acquire in this moment because do not have enough money and to build a solid economy.
The financial capitalism has caused also the poverty in the rich nations, because important sectors of those countries do not receive the necessary financial income to reach an adequate level of life.
d. More flexibility in the financial loans: This would be a road to enhance the number of loans to the undeveloped nations.  
e. Best control over the international financial aid: the international agencies and the donors should create a best system of control of the funds given to the undeveloped nations to guarantee its right use.
f. More employment: The struggle against the unemployment is vital. The employment is the key of the wellbeing. I suggest: a)  A Global Program of Reforestation that would let the creation of millions of ecological employments worldwide  and the protection of nature and the environment and b) A program for the intense use of the time and the productive infrastructure in those countries affected by the depression of their internal markets. The basic proposal of this program is the creation of the double working-day and the half working-day, to incorporate millions of unemployed to the productive activities.  
g. Protection of Nature and the environment: The international agencies and the governments of the countries should intensify and create concrete programs of employment for protecting nature and the environment. Programs in these fields currently exist but they are not sufficient. The effort should be enhanced and this would contribute effectively to the population wellbeing and the preservation of the planet.
h. The mentioned programs have something in common: they employ a minimum amount of energy which is one of the scarcer resources in the current world.

domingo, 24 de abril de 2011

The debt is not a problem for the U.S.

The United States of America has issued trillions of dollars in bills, coin and bonds because its national currency, the dollar, is the international currency of interchange. Those instruments (bills, coins and bonds) are simple debt. This is something normal because of the size of the international transactions. However, there are critics that condemn this policy and assure that the debt is something negative for the United States and the rest of the world. The individual people and private institutions that assure this do not say the truth. The most of them have particular interests on the theme. They want to diminish the dollar strength as international mean of interchange to favour other currencies like the Euro and/or the Chinese currency.

The emission of money, in cash or in bonds by the United States, is for the United States internal debt and not foreign debt. It is completely different the effects of the internal debt from the foreign debt. The last constitute a factor of weakness for the economy of the countries because the foreign debt must be paid with international means of payment, it mean, with dollars of the United States of America, and not ever the countries have the sufficient amount of dollars. But for the United States of America the situation is different, because the US can issue the amount of dollars that requires its internal economy and the international economy.

  1. Value and support of the national currencies

Since the Agreements of Breton Woods, in the post war, the value and support of the national currencies of the different countries of the world was established in base to the dollar of the United States of America. In those years, in Breton Woods, the countries agreed: a) the creation of the International Monetary Fund, b) that the international reserves of the nations must be kept in dollars c) That the dollar would be the international currency of interchange, and d) that the emission of national currencies should maintain a relation with their reserves in dollars. For example, if you set that your national currency is worth in two (2) units per dollar, this mean that each national currency in circulation should be supported by a reserve of 0.50 dollars, but not ever the nations carry out this rule. In all the cases, the set of the parity regarding the dollar is an act of sovereignty of each government; this means that they can issue more or less amount of national currencies.

I don’t believe in public fiscal deficit; the governments have sovereign capacity to issue national money; which is the support? The people faith, nothing more; none currency has an own value, per se. The currencies of all the countries are simple papers without intrinsic value that are accepted by the people to make transactions in the market and the governments have the power to issue those papers. In the past, the currencies had an intrinsic value, because they were made of gold or silver. But with the apparition of the bills of paper the situation changed. At the beginning the bills had a support in gold but along the time this support was eliminated and now its support is only its credibility, its acceptance.

The currencies cannot be supported in gold for a simple reason: all the gold that exists in the world is not enough to support the big amount of money that circulates in the world.

The debt of the United States instead of to be a factor of weakness of its economy and the world economy, is a factor that reveals the strength of the US economy. The financial crises are caused by the owners of private fortunes to obtain personal benefits. They do the crisis and the governments pay the bailouts. That is the true truth.

viernes, 1 de abril de 2011

A concrete idea to combat the unemployment, political economy

“The economic crisis has taken its toll on the young, ILO estimates that the global youth unemployment rate rose to 12.6% in 2010.” Helen Clark, Head of the United Nations Development Programme, March 21, 2011.
Index
1.     Overview
2.     Inexactitude of the statistics
3.     The sub employment is not revealed
4.     The intense use of technology and its effects on the employment
5.     Machine substituted the work of man
6.     What to do
7.     Demographic control
8.     The double working-day and the half working-day
9.     Global campaign of reforestation
10. Conclusion
1.      Overview
The unemployment is the worse illness of the society. The effects on their victims are of devastation. The employment is essential for the happiness. Unfortunately, the unemployment affects millions of people in the entire world. But there is other similar phenomenon: the sub employment (underemployment); this affects people that exert an economical activity but do not enjoy of a secure income neither the social benefits of the formally employed.
If you add the figures of the unemployed to the figures of the sub employed, the total amount is something really amazing, especially in the underdeveloped nations. The problem is that the figures of sub employment generally stay hidden. The official’s statistics usually do not reveal the sub employment figures.
The unemployment and the sub employment are the main cause of the poverty. So that the first measure to combat the poverty must be the creation of jobs.
But the creation of jobs requires several conditions. The jobs cannot be generated by magic. The creation of jobs responds to concrete needs of the society. An entrepreneur creates a job when he is sure of the utility of that job.
For the creation of a job it is necessary to make an investment; this means the use of financial resources and the employ of material goods, among them, resources of energy ---like petroleum--- that are every day scarcer and expensive.
One hundred years ago, the situation was different: there was abundance of material resources, especially of natural resources. For that moment, still man had not devastated the Earth wealth. The petroleum exploration was hardly beginning and the forests, rivers, lakes and oceans had not been razed.
Now, in the first years of the 21st century, the reality changed completely. Today, the limitations of natural resources are something real. The reserves of conventional petroleum have diminished in a sensible amount; hundreds of animals and plants species have disappeared; the forests, the marine resources and the reserves of water are also in critical situation in many regions of the world while man realized 2,053 nuclear detonations only between 1945 and 1988. The food is seriously threatened by the drought, the water scarcity and now by the biofuels. For example, by the year 2007, 25% of the United States corn production was for ethanol. On March 31 2011, the Food and Agricultural Organization, FAO, described as “potentially catastrophic climate impacts on food production over the long-term,” in a letter to the Convention on Climatic Change.
But while the natural resources experiment a reduction, the population grow in a constant form. It is a contradictory phenomenon that threats the humankind survival at mid term. The world is overpopulated. This means that the resources are not enough to satisfy the demand of the world population, among them, the demand of employment. You can verify it in a simple form: observe the traffic jam, the limitations in the water availability, the price of gasoline, the number of unemployed and sub employed in your community, the files in the banks, supermarkets, in the drugstores, in the bakeries, the scarcity of food and basic services. This is especially visible in the underdeveloped nations.
2.      Inexactitude of the statistics
I have serious doubts about the exactitude of the statistics of labour; I will explain why. For example, if you study the statistics of unemployment of Mexico, you will find that the level of unemployment was ---approximately--- an average of 3% ---this represent full employment--- between the years 2003 and 2008, like you can see in the table 2.  I do not believe that those figures are true because of a simple reason: during the same period, the immigration of Mexican citizens toward the United States was huge, occupying the first place among the foreign-born population, as may appreciated in the table 1.
Table 1. United States, Foreign-Born Population by Race for Countries with 750,000 or more Foreign Born: 2007. Numbers in thousands
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2007, American Community Survey.
For the period 2003-2008, the official statistics reveals that in the United States the unemployment was superior to 5%, this mean, superior to the Mexico’s unemployment rate; see table 2. This fact confirms that the doubt about the exactitude of the statistics is absolutely reasonable. The basic question is:  if Mexico has a level of full employment then why do the Mexicans citizens abandon their country to look employment in the United States?   A society that enjoy a high rate of employment, do not experiment a high percentage of immigration of its workers. Then, the logic conclusion is that the official unemployment figures of Mexico are not true. The figures of immigration reveal the economic disparities of the societies and especially their amount of unemployment and sub employment. 
Table 2. Unemployment, selected countries of America
Source: International Labor Organization. Laborsta, Internet.
Available in Internet in http://Laborsta.ilo.org/stp/guest
3.      The sub employment is not revealed
The big problem is the methodology used to define the unemployment. The traditional concept consider unemployed at the people of an age superior to the 18 years that search an employ and do not get it. But the statistics do not consider as unemployed the people that exert activities in the informal economy, the self-employed, neither the people that work for formal economic activities but do not enjoy of a fixed salary neither the social benefits of the formal employed, like the workers that work per hours, or in temporary form. All them are the sub employed, that do not appear in the official statistics. The International Labour Organization has its own concept about unemployment and underemployment, adopted by the 30th International Conference of Labour Statisticians in Geneve, 1982.
Moreover of the situation of Mexico and the United States, it must be underlined the reality of other countries of Latin America, like Venezuela and Colombia where the sub employment occupy a first plane, but this is not reflected in the official statistics. This situation happens not only in America but in the rest of the world. Therefore, it is right to say that the sub employment is most grave than the unemployment, because the sub employment is a hidden fact ---officially not recognized--- of disastrous effects for the world population.
4.      The intense use of technology and its effects on the employment
The technological development has brought two contradictory phenomenons: a) the displacement of the traditional workers and b) the creation of new technological jobs. The problem is that the former has been more than the second and this has contributed to the maintenance and increase of the unemployment. In some nations the phenomenon has been more intense and in other less. For example, in the last decades, the industrialized societies have kept acceptable levels of unemployment; in change, the underdeveloped nations have been more affected by the use of new technology, displacing a most number of workers.
The industrial societies have prepared the workers for the new challenges derived of the technological development. In the underdeveloped nations this process has been slow and in minor scale. This explains the relative reduced levels of unemployment and sub employment in the industrialized nations and the major amount of both in the underdeveloped countries.
 5. The machine has substituted the work of man
The objective of the entrepreneurs is the economic benefit, for that reason the search optimize their activities through the technology and usually do not consider the social impact of the technological changes. The objective of the governments is different. The governments look the social benefit; therefore, they must establish the rules to guarantee the employment.
It should have a balance between the aspirations of benefits of the entrepreneurs and the social need of to generate employments.
The machines must be used with rationality and justice; man must not be an enemy of the machines neither vice verse, the machines must not be enemies of man.
The machines must be employed to give happiness to the human beings and not to provoke sadness, exclusion and unemployment.
The principal task of the scientists should be to get the balance between the machine and man, and to guarantee the maintenance and creation of employments.
A technology that substitutes the work of man is not a good neither a fair creation. The main objective of man should not be to accumulate more and more money. All the owners of the machines and the most advances technologies will die and shall not keep with them neither the money, neither the machines. They should think in the human effects of their actions, the effects on the families and on the workers, and not only in the egoist desire of to obtain more and more money. At the final, that money will not be useful for them.
  1. What to do
The solution to the problem of the unemployment and the sub employment is not easy. Nevertheless, it is possible to achieve important advances. The world might reach partial success in this matter. The problem is of such magnitude that requires the action of the international agencies, the national governments of the countries, the entrepreneurs and the workers worldwide. But the main responsibility corresponds to the international agencies like United Nations and the World Bank. They should be the sponsors of a global campaign for the promotion of the employment and the preservation of the environment. I think that those should be the principal goals of those institutions, because the unemployment and the destruction of the environment are the two most graves material problems of the world. In turn, those problems have a cause: the overpopulation.
The high rate of population growth in the underdeveloped nations is responsible of the world overpopulation.
7. The demographic control
If the population growth rhythm continues like until now, to resolve the basic needs of the world society will be everyday more difficult. The first measure should be to begin a global campaign of demographic control in the underdeveloped nations. The situation is different in the industrialized nations because they experiment a contrary phenomenon known as demographic transition. This is the augment of the life expectancy of the senior people and the reduction of the birthrate.
I think that the international agencies, United Nations and the World Bank and the national governments of the underdeveloped nations should develop a Global campaign of demographic control. This is the unique form of to guarantee the next generations survival.
8. The double working-day and the half working-day
Twenty three years ago, in 1988, I wrote and published, in Spanish, an economic model to fight against the unemployment. The title of the thesis was “A concrete idea to combat the unemployment, the double working-day and the half working-day.” Available in Amazon:
The model was dedicated to the countries that suffer high levels of unemployment as consequence of the weakness of their markets, this mean, the weakness of the internal demand, by lack of income of a good part of the population, the unemployed.
It is an economic model that search to enhance the production of goods and services and to increase the level of employment, through the full use of the time of work, the productive infrastructure and the machinery. It is a new form of organization of the production and the work. The model is applicable especially in those countries where there is a productive capacity not enough used.
The core of the proposal is the legal creation of two different working-days of seven hours each one in a same day. In the most countries, the legal working-day is of eight (8) hours, but with the new proposal it would be established legally a second working-day of seven (7) hours. The workers that work in the first working-day cannot work in the second working-day. This fact guarantees the creation of new jobs that will be occupied by new workers.
The first working-day would begin at 7 am until 2 pm and the second working day would begin at 2 pm until 9 pm.
I shall explain the benefits with a single example: If 7 workers produce 7 pair of shoes in 7 hours, 7 new workers will produce 7 additional pair of shoes in the next seven hours of the second working-day. This mean that in the same day will be duplicated the jobs and the production.
Moreover of the industry, the model is applicable in the services sector; for example, in the medical and sanitary services. This would be especially useful for the underdeveloped nations that suffer serious restrictions because of the lack of medical attention.
9. Global campaign of reforestation
The other option to achieve a quick and effective creation of jobs is through the development of a Global campaign of reforestation, sponsored by United Nations and the World Bank, with the cooperation of the governments of the countries.
The Global campaign of reforestation would let to create millions of ecological employments worldwide and, in consequence, to attack the problem of the poverty and the unemployment. The other big advantage of this program is that it would let to keep the environment, because of the multiple benefits that the trees give to the people. The reforestation favors the ecological balance, the oxygen of the air, the rain, the conservation of the soils among others advantages.
To develop the Global campaign of reforestation it is not necessary to employ fossil fuels, like petroleum neither coal and this is its other great positive difference regarding other forms of creation of jobs. For example, to create one employ in the agriculture, the industry or in the tertiary sector it is necessary to use big amounts of energy. The campaign of reforestation does not need big amounts of energy.
10. Conclusions
-         There is not one or a rigid number of actions to promote the employment and to fight against the unemployment and the sub employment. I think that the human being have the duty of helping to find roads, solutions. That is what I want to do, only to help to find ways to solve this big problem that hit deeply the hearts and the life in family of the human beings in the entire world. The unemployment is something terrible, especially for the young people, that lose its hope when do not get a formal work. The same happen to the adults and to the senior citizens.
-         The international community, through the international agencies, the United Nations and the World Bank, might contribute in a decisive form to diminish the problem of the unemployment and the sub employment. I think that they might sponsor three basic campaigns: a) The Global Campaign of Demographic Control, b) The Global Campaign of Double Working-day and Half Working-day and c) The Global campaign of Reforestation, like concrete measures to combat the poverty, the unemployment and protecting the environment worldwide.
-         The Global campaign of demographic control is something essential to guarantee the survival of the next generations. The rate of population growth of the last decades is unsustainable.
-         The Double Working-day and the Half Working-day should be developed especially in those activities that require the less use of energy, like the tertiary sector of the economy; for example, in the activities to improve the quality of life of the population, like the medicine and services of health.
-         The Global Campaign of Reforestation is not only a measure of conservation of the environment but a measure of conservation of energy because its realization do not imply the use of the traditional sources of energy, petroleum neither coal.

miércoles, 16 de marzo de 2011

Human egoism and overpopulation, big economics and political problems

“The pride of man makes him love to domineer, and nothing mortifies him so much as to be obliged to condescend to persuade his inferiors. Wherever the law allows it, and the nature of the work can afford it, therefore, he will generally prefer the service of slaves to that of freemen.”
Adam Smith. An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations (1776), Book III, Chapter II

Index
1. Overview
1.1. The system of private property
1.2 The postulates of the economy are only intellectual exercises
1.3 Base of the political systems
2. Original Accumulation, vision of Adam Smith and Karl Marx
3. Comparison between the two points of views
4. The population growth, appreciation of Adam Smith and Thomas Robert Malthus
5. Unsustainable
6. Conclusions
1. Overview
Why does exists poor’s and rich’s?
Why one’s does governs and others obey?
For understanding the scope and answer those questions, first of all it is necessary consider two essential aspects: a) how was created the first wealth in the world? and, b) how did evolve the societies toward the different forms of government?
In the first stages of the human development, man lived in small groups of peasants and in a communitarian economic system, where shared the means of life with other members of the group; but that Honey Moon did not last too much. The human egoism dominated man hearts and appeared the first signs of struggle for the Earth resources and the dominium of one’s men over other men.
At the beginning of the times, land was communitarian property and nobody had individual rights over her.
1.1. The system of private property
The first big jump toward the new political and economic system of private property was the appropriation (robbery) of land by the strongest and rich men; this led to the establishment of the private property on land. The second step was the accumulation of stock. The first forms of capitalism appeared at the end of feudalism; however, the previous appropriation of land was the first expression of the wealth concentration.
But what did determine that deep change ---robbery of land and private property--- in the social behavior of man?
The answer is: a) the fear and b) the sexual instinct. The fear to the lack or scarcity of material means of life and the uncontrolled desire of sex. But pure love, fraternal love also exists and it is the other big might that inspire human beings life. The fear provokes the wealth accumulation wish because man wants to assure the goods that need. But for obtaining those goods he requires, in turn, to dominate the other people; therefore he searches the politics power.
Man made war to appropriate land and women of the conquered lands. In the Holy Scriptures and in the world history there are numerous examples of this. The fear and the sexual desire ---pleasure--- are the two forces that determine man behavior.
As a consequence of the uncontrolled sexual appetite ---and fertility--- the population grew; the effect of that growth was the multiplication of the social needs. The material means of life began to be scarce and this fact developed the human instincts of survival and the human egoism. Each one began to fight against other for the possession of the limited resources.
Land is the primary resource. And land encompasses the other essential resources. Land is wealth, the true wealth. Therefore, the first action of man was to appropriate land. But land and their physical expressions ---in material goods--- was not enough. Hence man created other symbol of wealth: the money.
Everyday the population grew more and more. But the resources do not augmented in balanced proportion and, moreover, they were not distributed fairly. This has been the essential cause of poverty and richness of one’s and others. The rich and strongest men ---since the physical and intellectual point of view--- have taken the best part of the earth resources and the capital factor; the poor’s and weak has received nothing.
In its first stage, the process of expropriation of the weak peasants was made through blood and fire. In parallel to the robbery of land to the peasants and the accumulation of stock, the rich and strongest men developed the political institutions ---states, governments, laws--- to guarantee their property and privileges and the dominium of the poor’s and weak . The maintenance of that process along the centuries has been based in the same principle: the violence. But ---in the modern times--- employing a romantic and false justification: the prevalence of law. The juridical system of the countries is the base where is supported the privileges of the owners of the power and wealth. It is too its moral justification. You must obey the law. It does not matter if the law is fair or unfair, moral or immoral. If you do not obey, the system has the legal force to punish you. The financial crisis of the year 2008 in the United States and other Industrial countries is an excellent example of the unfair laws. The bankers ruined their banks --- but kept their personal fortunes--- and the governments had to give them millions of money in bailout. That is the law.
1.2 The postulates of the economy are only intellectual exercises
In all the political and economical systems, the politics and the private economy advance together. The private economy cannot work without the institutional political support. The private economy is not independent and do not dominate the market. The private economy depends of the politics because the most important economics decisions ---the economic policies--- are taken by the politicians and the governments and not by the economists neither the entrepreneurs. For the mentioned reason, the postulates of the economic theory, the laws and the mathematical base of the economy ---like science--- are only intellectual exercises over situations that can occur or not in the true reality. In all the political and economical regimes are the governments ---through their policies--- who determine in last instance the conduct of the market. However, it is necessary underline that the politics and the politicians need the cooperation of the business and the entrepreneurs to reach the goals of the economic and social development. The public economy and the private economy, though have different objectives, need achieve basic agreements to benefit the society.
1.3 Base of the political systems
Since their creation, the political systems were established over a basic principle: the use of force or the threat of use of force. All the political systems are sustained in that principle. Man obey only for fear or own interest. The rulers and the rich know it perfectly. They employ both.
But man searches power and wealth for a basic reason: to satisfy his sexual desire. That is the true truth but nobody is able of to recognize it openly. The society has two faces: a) the apparent, institutional, legal and moral and b) the real, the true and not recognized. The Adam Smith’s concept that heads this work is a good example of the true human beings feelings. Fear, hedonism and egoism govern its life.
The world problems have two kinds of causes: a) intangibles and b) the materials.
The human egoism ---that is equivalent to the uncontrolled desire of pleasure--- is the foremost intangible cause of the big problems of the world. That uncontrolled wish of pleasure provokes the uncontrolled desire of sex, of wealth and politics power possession.
But the big desire of sex is, in turn, the cause of the overpopulation and this, the source of the big material problems of humanity: a) the overexploitation of the natural resources, b) the damage to nature and environment, c) unemployment, d) poverty and e) illnesses. In the table may be appreciated the hierarchy of the diverse situations.

2. Original Accumulation, vision of Adam Smith and Karl Marx
The study of the Original Accumulation is essential for the comprehension of the evolution of wealth along history.
Adam Smith employed the term “Previous Accumulation”, Karl Marx used the words “Primitive Accumulation” but I prefer “Original Accumulation.”
Adam Smith (1753-1790) is the father of the Economic Liberalism. His vision regarding the Original Accumulation is a concept that cannot be ignored in the study of richness. The opposite thesis of the Economic Liberalism is the Scientific Socialism. Karl Marx (1818-1883) is considered the father of this conception and for that reason his opinion about the Original Accumulation must be taken in account.
In the book An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations (1776), Book I, Chapter VIII, Adam Smith wrote:
“Of the Wages of Labour
The produce of labour constitutes the natural recompense or wages of labour.
In that original state of things, which precedes both the appropriation of land and the accumulation of stock, the whole produce of labour belongs to the labourer. He has neither landlord nor master to share with him. But this original state of things, in which the labourer enjoyed the whole produce of his own labour, could not last beyond the first introduction of the appropriation of land and the accumulation of stock. It was at an end, therefore, long before the most considerable improvements were made in the productive powers of labour, and it would be to no purpose to trace farther what might have been its effects upon the recompence or wages of labour.
As soon as land becomes private property, the landlord demands a share of almost all the produce which the labourer can either raise, or collect from it. His rent makes the first deduction from the produce of the labour which is employed upon land.”
And in the Introduction of the Book II about Of the Nature, Accumulation, and Employment of Stock, Smith wrote:
“In that rude state of society in which there is no division of labour, in which exchanges are seldom made, and in which every man provides everything for himself, it is not necessary that any stock should be accumulated or stored up beforehand in order to carry on the business of the society. Every man endeavours to supply by his own industry his own occasional wants as they occur. When he is hungry, he goes to the forest to hunt; when his coat is worn out, he clothes himself with the skin of the first large animal he kills: and when his hut begins to go to ruin, he repairs it, as well as he can, with the trees and the turf that are nearest it.
But when the division of labour has once been thoroughly introduced, the produce of a man's own labour can supply but a very small part of his occasional wants. The far greater part of them are supplied by the produce of other men's labour, which he purchases with the produce, or, what is the same thing, with the price of the produce of his own. But this purchase cannot be made till such time as the produce of his own labour has not only been completed, but sold. A stock of goods of different kinds, therefore, must be stored up somewhere sufficient to maintain him, and to supply him with the materials and tools of his work till such time, at least, as both these events can be brought about. A weaver cannot apply himself entirely to his peculiar business, unless there is beforehand stored up somewhere, either in his own possession or in that of some other person, a stock sufficient to maintain him, and to supply him with the materials and tools of his work, till he has not only completed, but sold his web. This accumulation must, evidently, be previous to his applying his industry for so long a time to such a peculiar business.
As the accumulation of stock must, in the nature of things, be previous to the division of labour, so labour can be more and more subdivided.” End of the quotes.
In his book, Capital, A Critique of Political Economy, 1867, Part VIII, Primitive Accumulation, Karl Marx wrote:
“We have seen how money is changed into capital; how through capital surplus-value is made, and from surplus-value more capital. But the accumulation of capital presupposes surplus-value; surplus-value presupposes capitalistic production; capitalistic production presupposes the pre-existence of considerable masses of capital and of labour power in the hands of producers of commodities. The whole movement, therefore, seems to turn in a vicious circle, out of which we can only get by supposing a primitive accumulation (previous accumulation of Adam Smith) preceding capitalistic accumulation; an accumulation not the result of the capitalistic mode of production, but its starting point.
This primitive accumulation plays in Political Economy about the same part as original sin in theology. Adam bit the apple, and thereupon sin fell on the human race. Its origin is supposed to be explained when it is told as an anecdote of the past. In times long gone by there were two sorts of people; one, the diligent, intelligent, and, above all, frugal elite; the other, lazy rascals, spending their substance, and more, in riotous living. The legend of theological original sin tells us certainly how man came to be condemned to eat his bread in the sweat of his brow; but the history of economic original sin reveals to us that there are people to whom this is by no means essential. Never mind! Thus it came to pass that the former sort accumulated wealth, and the latter sort had at last nothing to sell except their own skins. And from this original sin dates the poverty of the great majority that, despite all its labour, has up to now nothing to sell but itself, and the wealth of the few that increases constantly although they have long ceased to work. In actual history it is notorious that conquest, enslavement, robbery, murder, briefly force, plays the great part. In the tender annals of Political Economy, the idyllic reigns from time immemorial. Right and “labour” were from all time the sole means of enrichment, the present year of course always excepted. As a matter of fact, the methods of primitive accumulation are anything but idyllic.
In themselves money and commodities are no more capital than are the means of production and of subsistence. They want transforming into capital.
The capitalist system presupposes the complete separation of the labourers from all property in the means by which they can realize their labour. As soon as capitalist production is once on its own legs, it not only maintains this separation, but reproduces it on a continually extending scale. The process, therefore, that clears the way for the capitalist system, can be none other than the process which takes away from the labourer the possession of his means of production; a process that transforms, on the one hand, the social means of subsistence and of production into capital, on the other, the immediate producers into wage labourers. The so-called primitive accumulation, therefore, is nothing else than the historical process of divorcing the producer from the means of production. It appears as primitive, because it forms the prehistoric stage of capital and of the mode of production corresponding with it.
The economic structure of capitalist society has grown out of the economic structure of feudal society. The dissolution of the latter set free the elements of the former.
In the history of primitive accumulation, all revolutions are epoch-making that act as levers for the capital class in course of formation; but, above all, those moments when great masses of men are suddenly and forcibly torn from their means of subsistence, and hurled as free and “unattached” proletarians on the labour-market. The expropriation of the agricultural producer, of the peasant, from the soil, is the basis of the whole process. The history of this expropriation, in different countries, assumes different aspects, and runs through its various phases in different orders of succession, and at different periods. In England alone, which we take as our example, has it the classic form.” End of the quotes.
3. Comparison between the two points of view
Adam Smith presents an ascetic or perhaps an eclectic appreciation of the Original Accumulation. He does not explain openly how the violence, the murder and the robbery of land to the first commoners, the first peasants, was the base of the process. Smith recognizes the landlord’s rights to explode the peasants and receiving rent.
On the contrary, Karl Marx highlights how the violence was the method employed by the first rich to accumulate its primary wealth before the apparition of the first forms of capitalism.
This appreciation on the origin of wealth would determine the position of each one of them regarding the paper of capitalism in the society.
If you consider that something is right and moral you accept it, but, on the contrary, if you think that something has been not acquired by right and moral methods, perhaps you will reject it. Adam Smith considered the capitalists methods like something right. Karl Marx taught the contrary.
Along the centuries the workers had been simple slaves.
The philosophical position of Marx contributed ---years later--- to change the social and economic situation of the workers, because it opened the door to new reformists movements, like the syndicates, and new political parties, that fought by their social rights. For example, an Italian friend, remembers me that at the beginning of the 20th century, in Italy, cradle of western culture, the peasants were formally freemen but, in the social and economic reality, they were true slaves. He told me: “it was Benito Mussolini who made the first social reforms to improve the quality of life of the Italian peasants. At the beginning of his politics career, Mussolini was socialist. Mussolini, for first time, gave to the Italians peasants a participation in the benefits of production. In an official decision, he imposed that 55 per cent of the benefits of production had to be given to the peasants; the other 45 per cent was for the capitalists owners of land”, assured my friend.
The Marxist communism was a result of the unfair economical and social conditions that existed in Russia, the Eastern Europe and China. But the Marxist Communism did not change those unfair conditions. On the contrary, the communism created new dictatorships that devastated those countries during the past 20th century.
The nations that had reached the most standards of economic and social progress are those countries that had adopted an intermediate model between capitalism and socialism, like the Nordic countries. For example, I read recently, that Norway is the country with the major level of happiness.
4. The population growth, appreciation of Adam Smith and Thomas Malthus
The high rate of population growth is the principal cause of the economic and social problems of the world. In the last two hundred years, the world population grew as never before.
But the most paradoxical is that the maximum growth has been registered in the poorest and underdeveloped countries.
So far, the world, as a whole, has not focused its attention in this problem. Only the principal countries directly affected by the phenomenon, like China, have taken in account the issue.
If there is not a global consensus on the need of demographic control, the situation will be every day worse and in too few years will be unbearable. To ascertain this, it is enough to see how the poverty augments in sustained form in the underdeveloped nations. The poverty has many causes but one of the first is the overpopulation. It is not the same a family with two children than a family with six or eight children.
In the time of Adam Smith, 18th century, the situation was different. As a matter of fact he assured that:
“The most decisive mark of the prosperity of any country is the increase of the number of its inhabitants”. End of the quote. An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations (1776), Book One, Chapter 8, Of the Wages of Labour.
But Thomas Robert Malthus (1766-1834) thought something different; in his book An Essay on the Principle of Populations, Book One, Chapter One, Malthus assured that:
“It may safely be pronounced, therefore, that population, when unchecked, goes on doubling itself every twenty-five years, or increases in a geometrical ratio.
The rate according to which the productions of the earth may be supposed to increase, it will not be so easy to determine. Of this, however, we may be perfectly certain, that the ratio of their increase in a limited territory must be of a totally different nature from the ratio of the increase of population. A thousand millions are just as easily doubled every twenty-five years by the power of population as a thousand. But the food to support the increase from the greater number will by no means be obtained with the same facility. Man is necessarily confined in room. When acre has been added to acre till all the fertile land is occupied, the yearly increase of food must depend upon the melioration of the land already in possession. This is a fund; which, from the nature of all soils, instead of increasing, must be gradually diminishing. But population, could it be supplied with food, would go on with unexhausted vigour; and the increase of one period would furnish the power of a greater increase the next, and this without any limit.” End of the quotes.
5. Unsustainable
Nevertheless all the advances achieved by science and technology and the development of the democratic institutions, hundreds of millions of people suffer hunger. Already it is not only a problem of distribution but a problem of production. Man has devastated the environment and the natural resources. The scarcity of water is every day something real in too many places of the world. The deforestation and pollution of seas, rivers and lakes is the other evident reality.
“Until recently economic theory has not seriously considered that a global shortage of natural resources could occur, and even less a global shortage of water and petroleum.” Pablo Rafael Gonzalez, A Statistical Yearbook 2008. Running Out How Global Shortages Change the Economic Paradigm, page 11, Algora Publishing, New York. 2008.
But the global shortages of natural resources have begun and are visible in countries and regions where there was abundance in the past recent. The stress or scarcity of water exists already in several regions of the United States and Mexico, in the Caribbean and in South America in unthinkable countries like Brazil and in other countries as Bolivia, Peru and Chile. The same happen in some countries of Europe, like Spain and Italy, in the Middle East, Africa and Asia.
The stress or scarcity of water is and will be the gravest problem that humanity will face at mid term; their consequences will be disastrous for the wellbeing of the world population.
The global scarcity of natural resources is, and will be, a consequence of two phenomenons: a) the overpopulation and b) the overexploitation of the resources.
6. Conclusions
- For the comprehension of the current economic and social disparities it is necessary to know the evolution of wealth since the first times.
- The Original Accumulation is the previous period to the Capitalist Accumulation.
- The Original Accumulation of wealth was a consequence of two facts: a) the robbery of land by the strongest and rich men and b) the violence and crime against the first peasants.
- In its first stage, capitalism used analogue methods but substituted crime by the overexploitation of the workers, especially women and children.
-The economy depends of the politics, because in all the countries, the most important economic decisions are taken by the politicians and the governments and not by the economists neither the entrepreneurs.
- The human egoism is the foremost intangible cause of the world problems and the overpopulation the first material cause.
- If there is not a global consensus on the need of demographic control, the situation will be every day worse and in too few years will be unbearable.
- So far, the world society has not given the due importance to the problem of stress or scarcity of water that is the most important challenge for the population survival.
- The overpopulation and the overexploitation of the resources are destroying the planet and, if that trend continues, in too few years the Earth might be inhabitable.
- It is something essential, vital for mankind, to detain the destruction of the forests and to begin a global campaign of reforestation. This might be a way to combat the poverty, create millions of ecological employments and preserve the water and the environment.

martes, 15 de marzo de 2011

Relativity of the mathematical exactitude, philosophy of science

“The geometric analysis of the ancients and the algebra of the moderns, besides that they embrace only matters highly abstract, and, to appearance, of no use, the former is so exclusively restricted to the consideration of figures, that it can exercise the understanding only on condition of greatly fatiguing the imagination; and, in the latter, there is so complete a subjection to certain rules and formulas, that there results an art full of confusion and obscurity calculated to embarrass, instead of a science fitted to cultivate the mind. By these considerations I was induced to seek some other method which would comprise the advantages of the three and be exempt from their defects.”
Rene Descartes. Discourse on the Method of Rightly Conducting the Reason and Seeking Truth in the Science, 1637, Chapter 2
Index
1. Scope of the thesis
2. Essence of the thesis
3. Importance of Rene Descartes
4. Opening new doors
5. Conclusions
1. Scope of the thesis
The objective of the thesis is to demonstrate that mathematics is relative and not an exact science. This fact opens the door to new point of views, new approaches in the philosophy of science. If mathematics is not an exact science, but relative, their results and the results of the other sciences based in the mathematics must be also relatives.
2. Essence of the thesis
What things are the numbers?
Do they exist in absolute and tangible form?
What things are the geometric figures?
Do they exist?
If they exist, then how, where, why and when can be appreciated by our senses?
A number is an abstract entity, a geometric figure too; they are creations of our minds that do not exist in material form.
The exactitude of mathematics is relative.
A number is a mental representation of one unit. Starting from that representation of the unit has been created all the numbers, which are additional mental representations of one.
One is the unique and primary amount. God is one; the point from which begins all the things that exists in the universe. One represents the same in mathematics. One is the point from where begin all the other measures.
All the numbers that you know come from one. 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, are simple derivations, additions, to one. They do not have own entity. This idea denies the infinitude of the natural numbers. The unique real unit of measure is one. One adopts all the forms that exist in the objective world, as the water takes the form of the container that keeps her. Cero, alone, is nothing. Cero is the contrary expression of one, which is all. 1,000 is one one thousands times. Cero, when is associated to a number, is only a mental representation of the number of times that one has been repeated in that amount.
The primary amount is one; the other amounts are only the result of the increase of that primary amount. Observe that I have employed only the word increase. You can sum, rest, multiply or divide an amount but the result, ever, will be an amount that represents one. All the numbers are simple derivations of one, because of a rational, logic and simple reason: all the mathematical expressions are units, this mean one. The fractions are, per se, units. If you cut a bread by its middle, ½, this new middle is a new unit, a new one itself. ½ is regarding the original bread that already does not exist when you cut the bread; then, ½ is relative; what exist are two new unities integrated by two half, and each one of them is one unity, this mean one. This reveals that the numbers different to one are only names, appearance. One electron is one unit that integrates a major unit, the atom, but the electron, per se, is an independent unit, since the mathematical point of view. The electron is one itself.
One represents the force of God, the primary creation. In that primary creation are the germs of life, the essential elements of all the existent things. One is the atom, which contains the primary source, the primary energy of the universe. The atom encompasses one force ---not two, three, four, etc--- that, when is associated to other one, can develop millions of new ones; that is the principle of the chain reaction. I think that Galileo Galilei understood in a broad sense all this issues and for that reason he said that mathematics is the language of the universe.
The Holy Scriptures says that God created man ---one man--- and from that man God created later woman. From this first one was created a new life. That is the first mathematical expression of the numbers. It means that from one was created other one and was formed the number two that is the sum of one plus one. Man is, therefore, one at the image and similarity of God. Man was one; woman was two, the addition of one to the first one.
The geometric figures are also derivations of one. A triangle is one three times in a mental creation in the space. A circle is the prolongation of one since one point and its return to the same point. A straight line is one mental creation of one dimension between to extremes. Triangles, circle, straight line are simple names that our mind associate to determined figures created also by our own minds. But none of those figures exists per se, with own corporeity, in the objective world. The reason is able of create logic explanations. The problem is that sometimes the logic explanations are not true.
I remember the concept of my first professor of philosophy regarding mathematics. He taught: mathematics is the study of the exact dimensions in the time and the space: in the time is the arithmetic and in the space is the geometry. Some time later of studding that concept I asked myself: exact dimensions regarding what?
There are matters about which the people do not give its opinion because consider that they are truths that can not be set in doubt. And, on the contrary, there are subjects about which the people express their opinions because are not proven truths, or not enough proven truth.
The people consider that mathematics is an exact science; this concept is not enough discussed or not discussed. The exactitude of mathematics is an axiom. The people say yes, mathematics is an exact science and you commit a sin if you express any doubt about it.
But mathematics cannot be an exact science because of a simple reason: mathematics is a creation of man mind and, in consequence, it does not exist in the material reality per se, with own life. You cannot touch, smell, taste or see a number or a geometric figure but like representations of the real objects that exist in the reality.
The numbers and the geometric figures are only mental representations of the things that exist in the objective world.
Mathematics is a set of conventions built by the human being mind. For example, two centuries ago, man established that one meter was a portion of the meridiem that crossed Paris; currently, in the 21st century, man changed that concept and now he says that one meter is a fraction of the speed of light. This new concept was approved recently by the International Agency that controls the measures in the world. This simple example confirms that the exactitude of mathematics is relative. Man changes the concepts and the mathematical measures at his convenience; this demonstrates that mathematics is not an exact science.
When I was a child, a small friend told me: Pablito, (little Pablo), broke the toy to see what does has it inside; I remember that I said to my small friend: I want to play with the toy and to know how it work but I do not desire to destroy it. Now, I would like to know some things but without destroying them.
There is much kind of minds; ones accept the things like they are in appearance while others ask why.
I follow my own way, the dictates of my conscience, hence I write my opinions, it does not matter if they coincide or not with the generalized opinion of the people. There is not a unique truth. I think that the exact sciences are the sciences of nature that can be proven in the reality by mean of the senses. However, there is a hide reality that we cannot perceive with our own senses. We cannot see the atoms but we can experiment their consequences through the experience of their victims (Hiroshima and most recently Chernobyl) for example. One of the objectives of science must be to discover the hide reality of the things, the not apparent.
It is the sensible experience ---direct and indirect--- the main source of the knowledge. The direct experience is our own experience and the indirect the acquired by mean of the experience of other people.
The reason is the other source of knowledge. Our mind has the capacity to create and discover new things. But the creations and discoveries of the mind must be proven in the practice, in the reality of the life. Mathematics is a creation of our mind developed to make the real world more accessible. The mathematics is a form of expression, a language, in the same sense that is the oral and written language. But, while the oral and written language employ words, the mathematics use numbers and geometric figures.
The words, the same as the numbers and geometric figures, are abstract creations of our mind to name the things of the reality.
3. Importance of Rene Descartes
We must mention the work of Rene Descartes (1596-1650), because he is considered the father of the modern Rationalism, philosophical conception that assigns to the intellect the cause of the knowledge. The opposed thesis to the Rationalism, is the Empiricism, which principal exponent was the British philosopher Francis Bacon (1561-1626), creator of the scientific method of research.
Mathematics is a result of the reason; it is, then, a rationalist discipline, different to the empiricist sciences; they are the sciences which results can be proven in a tangible and practice form, following the scientific method of research. You can prove the existence of a tree in any place, but you cannot prove the absolute or corporeal existence of a number or a geometric figure. They belong to the intangible world, to the world of the ideas. The ideas can be transformed in real things or they can represent real things, but the ideas, itself, in its essence, do not have corporeal existence. So that mathematics is an abstraction that does not have corporeal, real existence.
Numbers and figures do not exist; what exist are the material things of the world; we only give name and measures to the things that exist in the objective reality. Man has conceived the figure of a triangle, but the triangles exist only in his imagination. The forms built by our minds sometimes coincide with the objects of the reality and, therefore, the human beings have developed theories and practice about the numbers and figures.
Rene Descartes is one of the most influential figures of knowledge; moreover of philosopher of clear expression, was a relevant mathematician and is considerer the father of the analytic geometry. But the clear thought of Descartes led him to see the knowledge and the science from an objective perspective. For example, in the second chapter of the Discourse on the Method of Rightly Conducting the Reason and Seeking Truth in the Science, 1637, he wrote the following:
“The geometric analysis of the ancients and the algebra of the moderns, besides that they embrace only matters highly abstract, and, to appearance, of no use, the former is so exclusively restricted to the consideration of figures, that it can exercise the understanding only on condition of greatly fatiguing the imagination; and, in the latter, there is so complete a subjection to certain rules and formulas, that there results an art full of confusion and obscurity calculated to embarrass, instead of a science fitted to cultivate the mind. By these considerations I was induced to seek some other method which would comprise the advantages of the three and be exempt from their defects.” End of the quote.
The logic question that arises after reading those ideas is: how the father of the analytic geometry could express those opinions about the geometry and the algebra?
The words of Descartes do not require more explanations. Obviously, he had a deep rejection for the algebra and for the forms employed by the ancient geometers; however, he worked in the geometry and developed his own system, named after his death the Cartesian coordinate system.
In his Discourse on the Method, Descartes left for the posterity his four rules to get the truth in the science; the first rule, and most important, is the methodical doubt.
Descartes wrote:
The first rule was never to accept anything for true which I did not clearly know to be such; that is to say, carefully to avoid precipitancy and prejudice, and to comprise nothing more in my judgement than what was presented to my mind so clearly and distinctly as to exclude all ground of doubt.
The second, to divide each of the difficulties under examination into as many parts as possible, and as might be necessary for its adequate solution.
The third, to conduct my thoughts in such order that, by commencing with objects the simplest and easiest to know, I might ascend by little and little, and, as it were, step by step, to the knowledge of the more complex; assigning in thought a certain order even to those objects which in their own nature do not stand in a relation of antecedence and sequence.
And the last, in every case to make enumerations so complete, and reviews so general, that I might be assured that nothing was omitted.
The long chains of simple and easy reasonings by means of which geometers are accustomed to reach the conclusions of their most difficult demonstrations, had led me to imagine that all things, to the knowledge of which man is competent, are mutually connected in the same way, and that there is nothing so far removed from us as to be beyond our reach, or so hidden that we cannot discover it, provided only we abstain from accepting the false for the true, and always preserve in our thoughts the order necessary for the deduction of one truth from another.” End of the quotes.
4. Opening new doors
The acceptance of the first Descartes’ rule opens innumerable questions in many fields of the science. He warned that it not must be accepted like truth something that has not been proven without any doubt. I do not want make explicit mention of doubts, but only remember that the intellectual formulations and speculations are not enough. Something that has not been proven in the practice, in the reality, do not deserve to be considered like a scientific truth, an irrefutable truth; some mathematical assumptions cannot be an exception.
Mathematics is the system of measures employed by the sciences and, in consequence, if some mathematical conceptions can be in doubt, it means that the results in other sciences might be also put in doubt.
There are logic and rational questions linked to the mathematical exactitude, like how, with which level of certainty have been measured the speed of light, the motion of the heavenly bodies, the distance between them? How can be confirmed that those appreciations are right? What is right? What is true? How can be proven that the Einstein’s paradox of the twins is true? How can be assured that some of his appreciations ---that represented a deep change for the sciences of the 20th century--- were not relatives?
5. Conclusions
- Mathematics must be taught with a practice and useful sense and not like a sacred science that do not admit any kind of doubts about their postulates.
- Mathematics should be reduced to the simplest formulas for the general comprehension of everybody.
- The complexity of mathematics comes from the complex minds of men that do not have the clarity to expose their thoughts with clarity; therefore, its ideas ---theorems, formulas, calculus and others--- are incomprehensible.
- Many of those complex mathematical assumptions are good for nothing, like Rene Descartes described the work of the ancient geometers and the algebra.
- An important intellectual task of the sciences must be to review the thesis that has been built in base of mathematical assumptions and, in consequence, ideas not enough proven in the objective reality, but based only in the imagination and the reason. This would be a way to conciliate the two extremes between Rationalism and Empiricism.